{"id":70129,"date":"2020-03-10T12:14:17","date_gmt":"2020-03-10T10:14:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.btv.md\/?p=70129"},"modified":"2020-03-10T12:14:17","modified_gmt":"2020-03-10T10:14:17","slug":"razboiul-preturilor-la-petrol-pariul-riscant-al-arabiei-saudite-in-fata-unui-rival-de-temut-rusia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.btv.md\/ro\/razboiul-preturilor-la-petrol-pariul-riscant-al-arabiei-saudite-in-fata-unui-rival-de-temut-rusia\/","title":{"rendered":"R\u0103zboiul pre\u021burilor la petrol, pariul riscant al Arabiei Saudite \u00een fa\u021ba unui rival de temut: Rusia"},"content":{"rendered":"

Arabia Saudit\u0103 a aruncat \u00een aer bursele mondiale prin decizia de a reduce drastic pre\u021bul petrolului, un r\u0103zboi al pre\u021burilor care se anun\u021b\u0103 riscant pentru prin\u021bul mo\u0219tenitor Mohammed bin Salman, \u00eentr-un context de sc\u0103dere a cererii pe fondul epidemiei de coronavirus, scrie AFP.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Aceast\u0103 b\u0103t\u0103lie ar putea deveni de asemenea o amenin\u021bare existen\u021bial\u0103 pentru aceast\u0103 putere din Golf, \u00een condi\u021biile \u00een care coincide cu o epurare regal\u0103 prin care fratele \u0219i nepotul regelui Salman au fost aresta\u021bi.<\/p>\n

Care sunt motivele \u0219i care sunt consecin\u021bele acestui r\u0103zboi al pre\u021burilor declan\u0219at de Riad?<\/p>\n

Care a fost elementul declan\u0219ator?<\/strong><\/p>\n

S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na trecut\u0103, Arabia Saudit\u0103, liderul Organiza\u021biei \u021a\u0103rilor Exportatoare de Petrol (OPEC), a f\u0103cut din nou presiune pentru reducerea produc\u021biei de petrol pentru a compensa reducerea cererii mondiale din cauza epidemiei de coronavirus.<\/p>\n

Dar Rusia, al doilea produc\u0103tor mondial dup\u0103 Riad \u0219i partener al OPEC \u00een acest dosar, s-a opus.<\/p>\n

Ca reac\u021bie, Arabia Saudit\u0103 a recurs la cele mai puternice reduceri de pre\u021buri de 20 de ani, pentru a cuceri zone de pia\u021b\u0103 ale Moscovei \u0219i declan\u0219\u00e2nd tulbur\u0103ri pe pie\u021bele financiare.<\/p>\n

„Ceea ce a f\u0103cut Arabia Saudit\u0103 ar putea fi o tactic\u0103 de negociere destinat\u0103 s\u0103 readuc\u0103 Rusia la mas\u0103, dar este pu\u021bin probabil ca pia\u021ba s\u0103 fie optimist\u0103 pe termen scurt”, arat\u0103 banca de investi\u021bii Berenberg, \u00eentr-o not\u0103.<\/p>\n

Care sunt consecin\u021bele economice?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Anali\u0219tii cred c\u0103 pr\u0103bu\u0219irea pre\u021burilor va avea consecin\u021be importante, de la erodarea veniturilor economiilor dependente de energie la defla\u021bia mondial\u0103 \u0219i \u00eencetinirea proiectelor de explorare \u00een domeniul petrolier.<\/p>\n

Dar ar putea fi devastatoare pentru \u021b\u0103rile din Golf, care reprezint\u0103 o cincime din aprovizionarea mondial\u0103 cu \u021bi\u021bei \u0219i unde veniturile petroliere reprezint\u0103 70 p\u00e2n\u0103 la 90% din veniturile publice.<\/p>\n

\u00cen 2014, un r\u0103zboi al pre\u021burilor a dus pre\u021bul petrolului la mai pu\u021bin de 30 de dolari pe baril. Lovite din plin, \u021b\u0103rile din Golf au fost nevoite s\u0103 adopte m\u0103suri de austeritate pentru a echilibra bugetele.<\/p>\n

Duminic\u0103 \u0219i luni, bursele din Golf au c\u0103zut puternic. Bursa din Riad, cea mai important\u0103 din regiune, a \u00eenchis luni \u00een sc\u0103dere cu 7,8%, \u00een siajul burselor asiatice. Au urmat bursele europene \u0219i americane.<\/p>\n

Pozi\u021bia Arabiei ar putea crea probleme \u0219i pentru aliatul s\u0103u american, care are nevoie de cota\u021bii solide pentru rentabilitatea extrac\u021biei de petrol de \u0219ist.<\/p>\n

Care este impactul asupra lui MBS?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Crahul petrolier ar putea compromite ambi\u021bioasele reforme economice ale prin\u021bului mo\u0219tenitor Mohammed bin Salman, supranumite „MBS”, finan\u021bate de aurul negru \u0219i destinate s\u0103 elimine dependen\u021ba Regatului de aceast\u0103 resurs\u0103 natural\u0103.<\/p>\n

Pr\u0103bu\u0219irea pre\u021bului petrolului coincide cu o epurare regal\u0103 care a avut loc s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na trecut\u0103. Prin\u021bii Ahmed bin Abdelaziz al-Saud \u0219i Mohammed bin Nayef, fratele \u0219i nepotul regelui Salman, au fost aresta\u021bi pentru, potrivit mai multor surse, organizarea unei lovituri de stat \u00eempotriva MBS.<\/p>\n

Potrivit unei alte surse apropiate de curtea regal\u0103, aceste arest\u0103ri constituie un „mesaj” pentru a sufoca din fa\u021b\u0103 orice opozi\u021bie fa\u021b\u0103 de prin\u021bul mo\u0219tenitor.<\/p>\n

Dar „amenin\u021barea asupra prin\u021bului Mohammed nu vine de la rivalii s\u0103i regali ci din pr\u0103bu\u0219irea veniturilor din petrol \u0219i, odat\u0103 cu ele, a planurilor sale economice ambi\u021bioase”, afirm\u0103 Kristin Diwan, cercet\u0103toare la Arab Gulf States Institute din Washington<\/p>\n

Cine va c\u00e2\u0219tiga b\u0103t\u0103lia petrolului?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Confruntarea dintre Riad, Moscova \u0219i ceilal\u021bi produc\u0103tori de petrol va fi c\u00e2\u0219tigat\u0103 de \u021b\u0103rile cele mai apte s\u0103 reziste pagubelor.<\/p>\n

Arabia Saudit\u0103 de\u021bine importante rezerve \u0219i extrage \u021bi\u021beiul la costuri care sfideaz\u0103 orice concuren\u021b\u0103 – doar 2,80 dolari pe baril – ceea ce \u00eei asigur\u0103 marje confortabile.<\/p>\n

Dar, cu o economie mai diversificat\u0103, Rusia este un rival de temut. „Este pu\u021bin probabil ca Rusia s\u0103 cedeze prima, cu siguran\u021b\u0103 nu \u00eenainte de trei – \u0219ase luni”, consider\u0103 Chris Weafer de la firma de consiliere Macro Advisory.<\/p>\n

„Rusia este \u00eentr-o pozi\u021bie financiar\u0103 mai bun\u0103 pentru a suporta un r\u0103zboi al pre\u021burilor la petrol. Rezervele financiare ale Rusiei sunt cu 80 de miliarde de dolari mai mari dec\u00e2t cele ale Arabiei Saudite”, subliniaz\u0103 el.<\/p>\n

Dar pozi\u021bia Moscovei se va schimba probabil dac\u0103 pre\u021bul petrolului va c\u0103dea sub pragul de 25 de dolari pe baril pentru o perioad\u0103 prelungit\u0103, a avertizat Weafer.<\/p>\n

Sursa: hotnews.ro<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Arabia Saudit\u0103 a aruncat \u00een aer bursele mondiale prin decizia de a reduce drastic pre\u021bul petrolului, un r\u0103zboi al pre\u021burilor care se anun\u021b\u0103 riscant pentru prin\u021bul mo\u0219tenitor Mohammed bin Salman, \u00eentr-un context de sc\u0103dere a cererii pe fondul epidemiei de coronavirus, scrie AFP. Aceast\u0103 b\u0103t\u0103lie ar putea deveni de asemenea o amenin\u021bare existen\u021bial\u0103 pentru aceast\u0103 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":70130,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6369,6377],"tags":[9960,11623,9421,11030,7841],"class_list":["post-70129","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economie-ro","category-stiri","tag-arabia-saudita-ro","tag-petrol","tag-preturi-ro","tag-razboi-ro","tag-rusia-ro"],"yoast_head":"\nR\u0103zboiul pre\u021burilor la petrol, pariul riscant al Arabiei Saudite \u00een fa\u021ba unui rival de temut: Rusia - BTV<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.btv.md\/ro\/razboiul-preturilor-la-petrol-pariul-riscant-al-arabiei-saudite-in-fata-unui-rival-de-temut-rusia\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"R\u0103zboiul pre\u021burilor la petrol, pariul riscant al Arabiei Saudite \u00een fa\u021ba unui rival de temut: Rusia - BTV\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Arabia Saudit\u0103 a aruncat \u00een aer bursele mondiale prin decizia de a reduce drastic pre\u021bul petrolului, un r\u0103zboi al pre\u021burilor care se anun\u021b\u0103 riscant pentru prin\u021bul mo\u0219tenitor Mohammed bin Salman, \u00eentr-un context de sc\u0103dere a cererii pe fondul epidemiei de coronavirus, scrie AFP. 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