{"id":92499,"date":"2020-08-20T11:27:52","date_gmt":"2020-08-20T08:27:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.btv.md\/?p=92499"},"modified":"2020-08-20T11:27:52","modified_gmt":"2020-08-20T08:27:52","slug":"moscova-pusa-in-dificultate-de-belarus-are-un-discurs-ambiguu-ce-optiuni-ii-raman-lui-vladimir-putin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.btv.md\/ro\/moscova-pusa-in-dificultate-de-belarus-are-un-discurs-ambiguu-ce-optiuni-ii-raman-lui-vladimir-putin\/","title":{"rendered":"Moscova, pus\u0103 \u00een dificultate de Belarus, are un discurs ambiguu. Ce op\u021biuni \u00eei r\u0103m\u00e2n lui Vladimir Putin"},"content":{"rendered":"

Rusia r\u0103m\u00e2ne deocamdat\u0103 la discursul diplomatic, dup\u0103 evolu\u021biile din Belarus. De\u0219i \u00eel sus\u021bine \u00een continuare pe Aleksandr Luka\u0219enko, Moscova nu poate ignora valul uria\u0219 de contestare. \u0218eful diploma\u021biei ruse recunoa\u0219te c\u0103 au fost probleme la scrutinul preziden\u021bial, dar avertizeaz\u0103 c\u0103 Moscova nu va tolera ceea ce el nume\u0219te \u201eamestec extern\u201d \u00een criza din Belarus.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Avertismentul vine \u00een ziua \u00een care liderii europeni au discutat despre situa\u021bia din Belarus \u00een cadrul unui summit extraordinar \u0219i au ajuns la concluzia c\u0103 nu pot recunoa\u0219te rezultatul alegerilor din Belarus, pentru c\u0103 a fost vorba despre un scrutin incorect. \u00cen plus, vor impune sanc\u021biuni acelor responsabili din Belarus care se fac vinova\u021bi de fraudarea alegerilor \u0219i de reprimarea protestelor post-electorale.<\/p>\n

Pe de alt\u0103 parte,\u00a0Kremlinul a transmis miercuri c\u0103 nu este nevoie ca Rusia s\u0103 ajute Belarusul militar sau \u00een alt fel \u015fi c\u0103 nici Belarusul nu vede nevoia unui astfel de sprijin din partea Moscovei.<\/p>\n

Este un discurs echivoc, care reflect\u0103 dilema \u00een care se afl\u0103 Moscova.<\/p>\n

Kremlin: Nu este nevoie ca Rusia s\u0103 ajute militar Belarusul<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00centr-o teleconferin\u0163\u0103 cu jurnali\u015ftii, purt\u0103torul de cuv\u00e2nt al Kremlinului, Dmitri Peskov, a acuzat puteri str\u0103ine, f\u0103r\u0103 a le numi, de amestec \u00een afacerile interne din Belarus \u015fi a spus c\u0103 o astfel de interferen\u0163\u0103 este inacceptabil\u0103.<\/p>\n

Dar \u00een acela\u0219i timp, el a declarat c\u0103 situa\u0163ia din Belarus este o chestiune intern\u0103 care ar trebui rezolvat\u0103 de belaru\u015fii \u00een\u015fi\u015fi, relateaz\u0103 Agerpres.<\/p>\n

Declara\u021bia de la Kremlin vine \u00een contextul \u00een care Belarusul ceruse zilele trecute sprijin militar pre\u0219edintelui Vladimir Putin, iar Aleksandr Luka\u0219enko sus\u021binea c\u0103 a primit chiar un r\u0103spuns favorabil.<\/p>\n

Serghei Lavrov: Alegerile nu au fost organizate perfect<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0218i ministrul rus de externe, Serghei Lavrov, a avertizat miercuri \u00een privin\u021ba tentativelor de amestec extern \u00een Belarus care ar avea obiective geopolitice. \u00cen opinia sa, manifesta\u0163iile din aceast\u0103 \u0163ar\u0103 \u00eempotriva pre\u015fedintelui Aleksandr Luka\u015fenko sunt \u201eo lupt\u0103 pentru spa\u0163iul postsovietic\u201d, dar recunoa\u0219te, pe de alt\u0103 parte, c\u0103 alegerile n-au fost organizate perfect.<\/p>\n

\u201eNu spune nimeni c\u0103 alegerile au fost organizate perfect, cu siguran\u021b\u0103 nu a fost a\u0219a. \u0218i sunt suficiente dovezi \u00een sensul acesta. Chiar \u0219i autorit\u0103\u021bile din Belarus \u0219i conducerea din Belarus au recunoscut situa\u021bia, iar acum \u00eencearc\u0103 s\u0103 se implice \u00eentr-un dialog cu cet\u0103\u021benii care protesteaz\u0103 fa\u021b\u0103 de ceea ce ei consider\u0103 o \u00eenc\u0103lcare a drepturilor lor. Dar vreau s\u0103 sf\u0103tuiesc pe toat\u0103 lumea s\u0103 nu se foloseasc\u0103 de aceast\u0103 situa\u021bie. (…) Suntem \u00eengrijora\u021bi de o tentativ\u0103 de a folosi dificult\u0103\u021bile interne cu care se confrunt\u0103 poporul \u0219i conducerea din Belarus ca justificare pentru o eventual\u0103 implicare \u00een evenimentele de acolo. Cineva din afar\u0103 vrea s\u0103 fac\u0103 acest lucru\u201d, sus\u021bine \u0219eful diploma\u021biei de la Moscova.<\/p>\n

Moscova acuz\u0103 \u201eingerin\u021be\u201d externe \u00een scop geopolitic<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201eNimic din ce se aude acum dinspre capitalele europene, mai ales dinspre \u0163\u0103rile baltice, Polonia \u015fi Parlamentul European, nu este despre Aleksandr Luka\u015fenko, despre drepturile omului sau democra\u0163ie. Este vorba numai despre geopolitic\u0103\u201d, a spus Lavrov \u00eentr-o declara\u0163ie acordat\u0103 postului rus de televiziune Rossia-1.<\/p>\n

\u201eNe \u00eengrijoreaz\u0103 \u00eencercarea de a profita de dificult\u0103\u0163ile interne prin care trec Belarusul, poporul belarus \u015fi liderii s\u0103i pentru a se amesteca (\u00een afacerile interne). \u015ei nu doar de a se amesteca, ci de a impune belaru\u015filor ordinea pe care actorii externi o consider\u0103 adecvat\u0103\u201d, a ad\u0103ugat \u015feful diploma\u0163iei ruse, dup\u0103 care a reluat discursul Kremlinului c\u0103 \u201eceea ce se \u00eent\u00e2mpl\u0103 \u00een Belarus este o problem\u0103 intern\u0103 a acestei \u0163\u0103ri. Consider\u0103m c\u0103 trebuie f\u0103cut tot ce este necesar pentru a crea condi\u0163iile care s\u0103 permit\u0103 men\u0163inerea situa\u0163iei \u00een cadrul legal pentru a permite dialogul necesar\u201d, a mai spus Lavrov.<\/p>\n

El s-a declarat convins c\u0103 \u00een \u00een\u021belepciunea sa, poporul acestei \u0163\u0103ri \u201enu se va l\u0103sa manevrat de cei care au nevoie de el doar pentru a domina acest spa\u0163iu geopolitic \u015fi a promova logica distructiv\u0103 a alegerii \u00eentre Europa \u015fi Rusia\u201d \u0219i a amintit \u00een context de protestele din Ucraina, despre care a spus: \u201eAm v\u0103zut deja care a fost rezultatul\u201d (n.r. – anexarea Crimeei de c\u0103tre Rusia \u00een 2014, dup\u0103 protestele pro-europene din 2013).<\/p>\n

Dilema lui Putin \u00een Belarus<\/strong><\/p>\n

Astfel, manifesta\u0163iile din Belarus \u015fi fragilizarea puterii pre\u015fedintelui Alexandr Luka\u015fenko \u00eel confrunt\u0103 pe pre\u015fedintele rus Vladimir Putin cu un calcul complex asupra strategiei pe care s\u0103 o adopte \u00een fa\u0163a unei mi\u015fc\u0103ri ce nu este antiruseasc\u0103 \u015fi \u00eentr-un moment \u00een care Rusia \u00eens\u0103\u015fi traverseaz\u0103 o perioad\u0103 politic\u0103 delicat\u0103, arat\u0103 o analiz\u0103 a AFP, preluat\u0103 de Agerpres.<\/p>\n

\u201eRu\u015fii nu prea \u015ftiu pe ce picior s\u0103 danseze. Ei au ajuns la concluzia c\u0103 Luka\u015fenko reprezint\u0103 f\u0103r\u0103 \u00eendoial\u0103 un impas, dar ar fi st\u00e2njenitoare pentru ei o solu\u0163ionare a crizei \u00een strad\u0103. Ei trebuie a\u015fadar s\u0103 instituie un proces asupra c\u0103ruia s\u0103 de\u0163in\u0103 controlul\u201d, spune Gustav Gressel, membru al grupului european de reflec\u0163ie ECFR.<\/p>\n

Se poate repeta scenariul din Ucraina?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Manifesta\u0163iile din Belarus nu au deocamdat\u0103 conota\u0163ia antiruseasc\u0103 a celor care \u00een 2014 au \u00eenl\u0103turat guvernul prorus de la Kiev \u015fi au determinat Rusia s\u0103 invadeze peninsula Crimeea \u00een numele ap\u0103r\u0103rii popula\u0163iilor rusofone din Ucraina \u015fi s\u0103 sus\u0163in\u0103 separati\u015ftii pro-ru\u015fi din estul acestei \u0163\u0103ri. Acesta este un element-cheie care \u00eei face pe anali\u015ftii s\u0103 nu privilegieze reeditarea scenariului ucrainean \u00een Belarus.<\/p>\n

\u201eSitua\u0163ia este total diferit\u0103\u201d \u015fi, mai mult, este diferit\u0103 \u00een Rusia, unde Vladimir Putin, cu popularitatea erodat\u0103, se confrunt\u0103 cu manifesta\u0163ii \u00een Extremul Orient rus dup\u0103 arestarea unui guvernator regional luna trecut\u0103, remarc\u0103 Anna Maria Dyner, cercet\u0103toare la Institutul polonez pentru Afaceri Interna\u0163ionale (PISM).<\/p>\n

Moscova a reac\u0163ionat deocamdat\u0103 cu calm \u015fi modera\u0163ie \u00een fa\u0163a acestor proteste.<\/p>\n

\u00cen Belarus, limba rus\u0103 este vorbit\u0103 pe ansamblul \u0163\u0103rii, nu exist\u0103 sentimente antiruse\u015fti \u00een societate \u015fi Rusia dore\u015fte ca acest lucru s\u0103 r\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 a\u015fa, arat\u0103 Maria Dyner.<\/p>\n

Rusia caut\u0103 solu\u021bii<\/strong><\/p>\n

Dar nici Luka\u015fenko nu este v\u0103zut ca un sf\u00e2nt de c\u0103tre Kremlin, aminte\u015fte la r\u00e2ndul s\u0103u Gustav Gressel. \u201eChiar sub Luka\u015fenko, Putin nu reu\u015fea s\u0103 ob\u0163in\u0103 ce dorea\u201d \u00een Belarus, confirm\u0103 analistul britanic Nigel Gould-Davies. Ru\u015fii \u201enu mai sunt c\u0103s\u0103tori\u0163i cu Luka\u015fenko, ei tatoneaz\u0103\u201d, \u00eens\u0103 \u201enu sunt deloc pasivi\u201d, mai constat\u0103 acesta.<\/p>\n

Sunt precau\u0163i, pentru c\u0103 \u201edac\u0103 mul\u0163imile \u00eencep s\u0103-l perceap\u0103 pe Putin drept un sprijin pentru Luka\u015fenko, sloganurile antiruse\u015fti ar putea \u00eencepe s\u0103 curg\u0103\u201d, subliniaz\u0103 Stephen Sestanovich, de la grupul de reflec\u0163ie american Council on Foreign Relations.<\/p>\n

Prin urmare, Moscova \u201ecaut\u0103 o solu\u0163ie\u201d, spune Gustav Gressel. Analistul crede c\u0103 \u201eLuka\u015fenko este unul care poate fi \u00eenlocuit f\u0103r\u0103 ca Kremlinul s\u0103 se acopere prea mult de ridicol\u201d.<\/p>\n

O tranzi\u021bie f\u0103r\u0103 Luka\u0219enko \u00een Belarus?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Stephen Sestanovich remarc\u0103 faptul c\u0103 Rusia are rela\u0163ii bune cu elitele de la Minsk, unde de asemenea exist\u0103 un consens pentru men\u0163inerea bunelor rela\u0163ii cu puternicul vecin din Est. Mul\u021bi dintre opozan\u021bii lui Luka\u0219enko s-au refugiat, de altfel, la Moscova de teama represaliilor din \u021bara natal\u0103.<\/p>\n

Aceste conexiuni \u015fi aceste atitudini favorabile \u00eei ofer\u0103 lui Putin mai multe piste pentru a g\u0103si o tranzi\u0163ie f\u0103r\u0103 Luka\u015fenko, mai ales c\u0103 mi\u015fcarea de protest \u00eembrac\u0103 diferite forme \u015fi nu are un lider clar.<\/p>\n

Una dintre figurile opozi\u0163iei, Svetlana Tihanovskaia, contracandidat\u0103 a lui Luka\u015fenko la scrutinul de duminica trecut\u0103, s-a refugiat \u00een Lituania, de unde \u00eencearc\u0103 s\u0103 coaguleze nemul\u0163umirea existent\u0103 \u00een toate straturile societ\u0103\u0163ii belaruse.<\/p>\n

Totu\u015fi, anali\u015ftii avertizeaz\u0103, \u00eens\u0103 c\u0103 nimic nu poate fi exclus, inclusiv recurgerea la for\u0163\u0103.<\/p>\n

\u201eSunt sigur\u0103 c\u0103 Rusia este preg\u0103tit\u0103 pentru toate op\u0163iunile, inclusiv op\u0163iunea militar\u0103, chiar dac\u0103 aceasta ar fi extrem de costisitoare pentru ea\u201d, crede Maria Dyner.<\/p>\n

Sursa: digi24.ro<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rusia r\u0103m\u00e2ne deocamdat\u0103 la discursul diplomatic, dup\u0103 evolu\u021biile din Belarus. De\u0219i \u00eel sus\u021bine \u00een continuare pe Aleksandr Luka\u0219enko, Moscova nu poate ignora valul uria\u0219 de contestare. \u0218eful diploma\u021biei ruse recunoa\u0219te c\u0103 au fost probleme la scrutinul preziden\u021bial, dar avertizeaz\u0103 c\u0103 Moscova nu va tolera ceea ce el nume\u0219te \u201eamestec extern\u201d \u00een criza din Belarus. Avertismentul […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":92473,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6354,6368,6377],"tags":[7841,16811,14614],"class_list":["post-92499","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-externe-ro","category-politica-ro","category-stiri","tag-rusia-ro","tag-svetlana-tihanovskaia","tag-belarus-ro"],"yoast_head":"\nMoscova, pus\u0103 \u00een dificultate de Belarus, are un discurs ambiguu. Ce op\u021biuni \u00eei r\u0103m\u00e2n lui Vladimir Putin - BTV<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.btv.md\/ro\/moscova-pusa-in-dificultate-de-belarus-are-un-discurs-ambiguu-ce-optiuni-ii-raman-lui-vladimir-putin\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Moscova, pus\u0103 \u00een dificultate de Belarus, are un discurs ambiguu. Ce op\u021biuni \u00eei r\u0103m\u00e2n lui Vladimir Putin - BTV\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Rusia r\u0103m\u00e2ne deocamdat\u0103 la discursul diplomatic, dup\u0103 evolu\u021biile din Belarus. De\u0219i \u00eel sus\u021bine \u00een continuare pe Aleksandr Luka\u0219enko, Moscova nu poate ignora valul uria\u0219 de contestare. \u0218eful diploma\u021biei ruse recunoa\u0219te c\u0103 au fost probleme la scrutinul preziden\u021bial, dar avertizeaz\u0103 c\u0103 Moscova nu va tolera ceea ce el nume\u0219te \u201eamestec extern\u201d \u00een criza din Belarus. 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